tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5461612418957479399.post5909195560678220588..comments2023-03-31T03:27:31.076-04:00Comments on 400 goblins: Crabjack - A polyhedral dice gambling game400goblinshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/02918854100022834123noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5461612418957479399.post-11813507703326301892018-09-29T06:21:40.751-04:002018-09-29T06:21:40.751-04:00I like this game! I just wrote a program simulatio...I like this game! I just wrote a program simulation of it running 120 million times and got some statistics for your first payout option.<br /><br />wins: 46013868<br />wins using all 5 dice: 640760<br /><br />The player will win 38.34% of the time and have a payout of 64.73%. So in the long run for every dollar played, the "house" will keep about 35 cents.<br /><br />I also found some fun stats. <br /><br />Winning on a single die is the most common way (out of 120) to win (however still very unlikely). A single d12 will win 3.33% of the time (8.69% of total wins). A single d8 will win 2.5% of the time. A single d10 will win 2% of the time. <br /><br />With rolling more than 1 die, your best bet is to start with the d4. 2 of the top 10 combinations (out of 120 possible) start with the rolling of a d4. After rolling the d4 you should follow with a d8 or d10 (after that you're on your own).<br /><br />Starting with a d4 accounted for 18.26% of all wins.<br />Starting with a d6 accounted for 17.7%<br />starting with a d8 accounted for 21.98%<br />starting with a d10 accounted for 20.14%<br />starting with a d12 accounted for 21.92%<br /><br />While d12 has a high win percentage that is highly because it has 2/12 chances of you winning on the first roll. It is also the worst starting choice. Besides winning on the first roll, starting with the d12 takes 4 of the 6 worst ways to start. It is both best and worst.<br /><br />If there were a version of the game where getting a 7 or 11 on the first roll was a push, the odds are surprising.<br /><br />d4 wins 22.94%<br />d6 wins 22.25%<br />d8 wins 19.42%<br />d10 wins 18.76%<br />d12 wins 16.62%<br /><br />I think that would be an interesting version. Who would think to start with the d4. <br />This version would drop you to a win rate of 30.52% and a payout rate of 52.98%. The "house" likes this game a lot more. Now it is much closer to casino type games, usually right under the 50% mark.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03276452732371746658noreply@blogger.com